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Luís Montenegro in the polls: approval history and what happened

The thick line is the 30-day average: only the latest poll from each available pollster counts, with equal weight. Each dot is a published poll, on the day its fieldwork ended. The ring and the home page show the latest value of this average. In the filters you can also show disapproval and each pollster's line, pick a single pollster or a period. The marked rises and falls are worked out pollster by pollster, and we do not compare countries: each chart has its own question. Hover over (or tap) a dot to see the pollster.

Prime Minister of Portugal

The government

Rating of Luís Montenegro's government: approve or disapprove

Last recorded collection: 12/11/2026, 00:05 (Lisbon).

Study, data and source-check dates are separate. Last successful source check: 12/11/2026, 09:05 (Lisbon). Last attempt: 12/11/2026, 09:05 (Lisbon). Check completed. An unchanged source does not renew the data date.

120%25%50%75%100%Aug 2025NovFebMayAugNovIntercampusAximageCESOP–UCPICS/ISCTEPitagóricaIntercampus · 18 Jul 2025 · approval 26.2%, disapproval 39.6%Intercampus · 14 Aug 2025 · approval 25.7%, disapproval 39.4%Aximage · 5 Sep 2025 · approval 31%, disapproval 59%Intercampus · 26 Oct 2025 · approval 27.3%, disapproval 41.6%Aximage · 27 Oct 2025 · approval 49%, disapproval 43%Intercampus · 19 Nov 2025 · approval 26.4%, disapproval 40.5%CESOP–UCP · 12 Dec 2025 · approval 17%, disapproval 32%Intercampus · 16 Dec 2025 · approval 22.2%, disapproval 45.9%Aximage · 3 Mar 2026 · approval 42%, disapproval 51%ICS/ISCTE · 8 Mar 2026 · approval 35%, disapproval 56%Intercampus · 14 Apr 2026 · approval 19.2%, disapproval 51.9%Aximage · 15 Apr 2026 · approval 41%, disapproval 54%Aximage · 7 May 2026 · approval 40%, disapproval 53%Intercampus · 14 May 2026 · approval 23.2%, disapproval 47.8%Aximage · 19 May 2026 · approval 33%, disapproval 58%ICS/ISCTE · 24 May 2026 · approval 27.6%, disapproval 61.1%Intercampus · 16 Jun 2026 · approval 17.9%, disapproval 52.4%Aximage · 25 Jun 2026 · approval 39%, disapproval 56%CESOP–UCP · 10 Jul 2026 · approval 11%, disapproval 41%Intercampus · 14 Jul 2026 · approval 22.2%, disapproval 52%GfK Metris · 20 Jul 2026 · approval 40%, disapproval 36%Aximage · 21 Jul 2026 · approval 27%, disapproval 68%Pitagórica · 4 Sep 2026 · approval 35%, disapproval 58%Pitagórica · 12 Sep 2026 · approval 35%, disapproval 59%Intercampus · 14 Sep 2026 · approval 14.1%, disapproval 55.2%Aximage · 15 Sep 2026 · approval 27%, disapproval 67%Pitagórica · 18 Sep 2026 · approval 35%, disapproval 59%Pitagórica · 26 Sep 2026 · approval 34%, disapproval 60%Pitagórica · 3 Oct 2026 · approval 35%, disapproval 59%Aximage · 7 Oct 2026 · approval 31%, disapproval 63%Pitagórica · 10 Oct 2026 · approval 34%, disapproval 59%Intercampus · 12 Oct 2026 · approval 20.2%, disapproval 50.3%Pitagórica · 16 Oct 2026 · approval 35%, disapproval 58%Pitagórica · 19 Oct 2026 · approval 33%, disapproval 60%ICS/ISCTE · 25 Oct 2026 · approval 18%, disapproval 75%Pitagórica · 26 Oct 2026 · approval 32%, disapproval 61%Pitagórica · 2 Nov 2026 · approval 33%, disapproval 62%
Approval · Disapproval · 37 polls, from 18 Jul 2025 to 2 Nov 2026Each line joins one pollster's polls; the stronger one is Intercampus, with 11 polls.The thick line is the average approval, at each date, of each pollster's latest poll in the previous 30 days (with fewer than 3 pollsters, the average of those there are). It is a rough reading: pollsters ask in different ways.
  1. ▼ 7 May–16 Jun 2026 · fall in 2 pollsters (−5.3 to −7 points in approval, each against its own previous poll)
    • In that period, according to Wikipedia:
    • · Killing of Odair Moniz: A Sintra court judge sentences the police officer who shot Odair Moniz in October 2024 to three and a half years of suspended imprisonment. source ↗
    • · President António José Seguro vetoes a parliamentary bill that would ban "ideological flags" from being displayed on public buildings. source ↗
    • · A general strike, the second in six months, is called by the General Confederation of the Portuguese Workers (CGTP) against the government's labour reforms. source ↗
    • · The Constitutional Court strikes down the nationality law decree that would allow the criminal penalty of loss of citizenship for immigrants who commit serious crimes. source ↗
    • · Negotiations between employers' associations, unions, and the government regarding the new labour legislation end without an agreement. source ↗
  2. ▼ 25 Jun–14 Sep 2026 · fall in 2 pollsters (−8.1 to −12 points in approval, each against its own previous poll)
    • In that period, according to Wikipedia:
    • · The Assembly of the Republic rejects the motion of no confidence against the government. source ↗
    • · Portugal sanctions products from Israeli settlements in the West Bank. source ↗
    • · Opposition leader André Ventura submits a motion of no confidence against the government in light of the controversies surrounding minister of home affairs Luís Neves. source ↗
    • · Public Prosecution opens an inquiry into the management of Luís Neves, current minister of home affairs, in his former role as director of the Judiciary Police, in relation to alleged crimes of smuggling and abuse of power in a case concerning the loan of a seized drug trailer to a contractor friend of his. source ↗
    • · The government activates the European Union Civil Protection Mechanism (UCPM) because of wildfires and a heat wave which dangerously increases the risk of further wildfires. source ↗

A rise or fall is marked when at least two pollsters, each compared only with itself, move 5 points or more in the same direction (between polls less than two months apart) over overlapping periods. The events come from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): those naming the leader on «Portal:Current events» and the political events on the country's page for that year («2026 in Portugal», for example), with no sport or celebrities. We show what happened; we do not say it was the cause.

Each dot is the pollster's own, as published; the 30-day average is ours and explained in the chart. We compare no countries, and nothing comes from the headlines. Read from the Wikipedia polling table (CC BY-SA 4.0) with collection scheduled every 3 hours. Last recorded collection: 12/11/2026, 00:05 (Lisbon).

Luís Montenegro, PSD leader

Rating of Luís Montenegro as party leader: positive or negative

Last recorded collection: 29/10/2026, 21:05 (Lisbon).Record older than 24 hours; newer data may be available at the source.

Study, data and source-check dates are separate. Last successful source check: 12/11/2026, 09:05 (Lisbon). Last attempt: 12/11/2026, 09:05 (Lisbon). Check completed. An unchanged source does not renew the data date.

Pitagórica, edition published on 26 Oct 2026: 28 Sep–19 Oct identify the weeks of the existing rolling sample; the source does not publish exact interview dates.

10%25%50%75%100%Jul 2025OctJan 2026AprJulOctIntercampusAximageIntercampus · 15 Jun 2025 · approval 35.2%, disapproval 36%Intercampus · 18 Jul 2025 · approval 34.3%, disapproval 35.5%Intercampus · 14 Aug 2025 · approval 35.6%, disapproval 37.6%Aximage · 5 Sep 2025 · approval 40%, disapproval 51%Intercampus · 26 Oct 2025 · approval 30.2%, disapproval 36.5%Aximage · 27 Oct 2025 · approval 49%, disapproval 40%Intercampus · 19 Nov 2025 · approval 35%, disapproval 38.7%Intercampus · 16 Dec 2025 · approval 25.5%, disapproval 44.8%Aximage · 3 Mar 2026 · approval 44%, disapproval 46%Intercampus · 14 Apr 2026 · approval 25.7%, disapproval 47.9%Intercampus · 14 May 2026 · approval 25.4%, disapproval 48.4%Intercampus · 16 Jun 2026 · approval 20.6%, disapproval 51.9%Aximage · 25 Jun 2026 · approval 41%, disapproval 49%Intercampus · 14 Jul 2026 · approval 25.5%, disapproval 51%Aximage · 21 Jul 2026 · approval 32%, disapproval 61%Intercampus · 14 Sep 2026 · approval 18.4%, disapproval 51.7%Aximage · 15 Sep 2026 · approval 31%, disapproval 60%Aximage · 7 Oct 2026 · approval 34%, disapproval 59%Intercampus · 12 Oct 2026 · approval 22.1%, disapproval 50.3%Pitagórica · 19 Oct 2026 · approval 30.1%, disapproval 65.4%
Approval · Disapproval · 20 polls, from 15 Jun 2025 to 19 Oct 2026Each line joins one pollster's polls; the stronger one is Intercampus, with 12 polls.The thick line is the average approval, at each date, of each pollster's latest poll in the previous 30 days (with fewer than 3 pollsters, the average of those there are). It is a rough reading: pollsters ask in different ways.
  1. ▼ 25 Jun–14 Sep 2026 · fall in 2 pollsters (−7.1 to −9 points in approval, each against its own previous poll)
    • In that period, according to Wikipedia:
    • · The Assembly of the Republic rejects the motion of no confidence against the government. source ↗
    • · Portugal sanctions products from Israeli settlements in the West Bank. source ↗
    • · Opposition leader André Ventura submits a motion of no confidence against the government in light of the controversies surrounding minister of home affairs Luís Neves. source ↗
    • · Public Prosecution opens an inquiry into the management of Luís Neves, current minister of home affairs, in his former role as director of the Judiciary Police, in relation to alleged crimes of smuggling and abuse of power in a case concerning the loan of a seized drug trailer to a contractor friend of his. source ↗
    • · The government activates the European Union Civil Protection Mechanism (UCPM) because of wildfires and a heat wave which dangerously increases the risk of further wildfires. source ↗

A rise or fall is marked when at least two pollsters, each compared only with itself, move 5 points or more in the same direction (between polls less than two months apart) over overlapping periods. The events come from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): those naming the leader on «Portal:Current events» and the political events on the country's page for that year («2026 in Portugal», for example), with no sport or celebrities. We show what happened; we do not say it was the cause.

Each dot is the pollster's own, as published; the 30-day average is ours and explained in the chart. We compare no countries, and nothing comes from the headlines. Read from the Wikipedia polling table (CC BY-SA 4.0) with collection scheduled every 3 hours. Last recorded collection: 29/10/2026, 21:05 (Lisbon).Record older than 24 hours; newer data may be available at the source.