Luís Montenegro in the polls: approval history and what happened
The government
- ▼ 7 May–16 Jun 2026 · fall in 2 pollsters (−5.3 to −7 points in approval, each against its own previous poll)
- In that period, according to Wikipedia:
- · Killing of Odair Moniz: A Sintra court judge sentences the police officer who shot Odair Moniz in October 2024 to three and a half years of suspended imprisonment. source ↗
- · President António José Seguro vetoes a parliamentary bill that would ban "ideological flags" from being displayed on public buildings. source ↗
- · A general strike, the second in six months, is called by the General Confederation of the Portuguese Workers (CGTP) against the government's labour reforms. source ↗
- · The Constitutional Court strikes down the nationality law decree that would allow the criminal penalty of loss of citizenship for immigrants who commit serious crimes. source ↗
- · Negotiations between employers' associations, unions, and the government regarding the new labour legislation end without an agreement. source ↗
- ▼ 25 Jun–14 Sep 2026 · fall in 2 pollsters (−8.1 to −12 points in approval, each against its own previous poll)
- In that period, according to Wikipedia:
- · The Assembly of the Republic rejects the motion of no confidence against the government. source ↗
- · Portugal sanctions products from Israeli settlements in the West Bank. source ↗
- · Opposition leader André Ventura submits a motion of no confidence against the government in light of the controversies surrounding minister of home affairs Luís Neves. source ↗
- · Public Prosecution opens an inquiry into the management of Luís Neves, current minister of home affairs, in his former role as director of the Judiciary Police, in relation to alleged crimes of smuggling and abuse of power in a case concerning the loan of a seized drug trailer to a contractor friend of his. source ↗
- · The government activates the European Union Civil Protection Mechanism (UCPM) because of wildfires and a heat wave which dangerously increases the risk of further wildfires. source ↗
A rise or fall is marked when at least two pollsters, each compared only with itself, move 5 points or more in the same direction (between polls less than two months apart) over overlapping periods. The events come from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): those naming the leader on «Portal:Current events» and the political events on the country's page for that year («2026 in Portugal», for example), with no sport or celebrities. We show what happened; we do not say it was the cause.
- ▼ 7 May–16 Jun 2026 · fall in 2 pollsters (−5.3 to −7 points in approval, each against its own previous poll)
- In that period, according to Wikipedia:
- · Killing of Odair Moniz: A Sintra court judge sentences the police officer who shot Odair Moniz in October 2024 to three and a half years of suspended imprisonment. source ↗
- · President António José Seguro vetoes a parliamentary bill that would ban "ideological flags" from being displayed on public buildings. source ↗
- · A general strike, the second in six months, is called by the General Confederation of the Portuguese Workers (CGTP) against the government's labour reforms. source ↗
- · The Constitutional Court strikes down the nationality law decree that would allow the criminal penalty of loss of citizenship for immigrants who commit serious crimes. source ↗
- · Negotiations between employers' associations, unions, and the government regarding the new labour legislation end without an agreement. source ↗
- ▼ 25 Jun–14 Sep 2026 · fall in 2 pollsters (−8.1 to −12 points in approval, each against its own previous poll)
- In that period, according to Wikipedia:
- · The Assembly of the Republic rejects the motion of no confidence against the government. source ↗
- · Portugal sanctions products from Israeli settlements in the West Bank. source ↗
- · Opposition leader André Ventura submits a motion of no confidence against the government in light of the controversies surrounding minister of home affairs Luís Neves. source ↗
- · Public Prosecution opens an inquiry into the management of Luís Neves, current minister of home affairs, in his former role as director of the Judiciary Police, in relation to alleged crimes of smuggling and abuse of power in a case concerning the loan of a seized drug trailer to a contractor friend of his. source ↗
- · The government activates the European Union Civil Protection Mechanism (UCPM) because of wildfires and a heat wave which dangerously increases the risk of further wildfires. source ↗
A rise or fall is marked when at least two pollsters, each compared only with itself, move 5 points or more in the same direction (between polls less than two months apart) over overlapping periods. The events come from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): those naming the leader on «Portal:Current events» and the political events on the country's page for that year («2026 in Portugal», for example), with no sport or celebrities. We show what happened; we do not say it was the cause.
- ▼ 7 May–16 Jun 2026 · fall in 2 pollsters (−5.3 to −7 points in approval, each against its own previous poll)
- In that period, according to Wikipedia:
- · Killing of Odair Moniz: A Sintra court judge sentences the police officer who shot Odair Moniz in October 2024 to three and a half years of suspended imprisonment. source ↗
- · President António José Seguro vetoes a parliamentary bill that would ban "ideological flags" from being displayed on public buildings. source ↗
- · A general strike, the second in six months, is called by the General Confederation of the Portuguese Workers (CGTP) against the government's labour reforms. source ↗
- · The Constitutional Court strikes down the nationality law decree that would allow the criminal penalty of loss of citizenship for immigrants who commit serious crimes. source ↗
- · Negotiations between employers' associations, unions, and the government regarding the new labour legislation end without an agreement. source ↗
- ▼ 25 Jun–14 Sep 2026 · fall in 2 pollsters (−8.1 to −12 points in approval, each against its own previous poll)
- In that period, according to Wikipedia:
- · The Assembly of the Republic rejects the motion of no confidence against the government. source ↗
- · Portugal sanctions products from Israeli settlements in the West Bank. source ↗
- · Opposition leader André Ventura submits a motion of no confidence against the government in light of the controversies surrounding minister of home affairs Luís Neves. source ↗
- · Public Prosecution opens an inquiry into the management of Luís Neves, current minister of home affairs, in his former role as director of the Judiciary Police, in relation to alleged crimes of smuggling and abuse of power in a case concerning the loan of a seized drug trailer to a contractor friend of his. source ↗
- · The government activates the European Union Civil Protection Mechanism (UCPM) because of wildfires and a heat wave which dangerously increases the risk of further wildfires. source ↗
A rise or fall is marked when at least two pollsters, each compared only with itself, move 5 points or more in the same direction (between polls less than two months apart) over overlapping periods. The events come from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): those naming the leader on «Portal:Current events» and the political events on the country's page for that year («2026 in Portugal», for example), with no sport or celebrities. We show what happened; we do not say it was the cause.
Each dot is the pollster's own, as published; the 30-day average is ours and explained in the chart. We compare no countries, and nothing comes from the headlines. Read from the Wikipedia polling table (CC BY-SA 4.0) with collection scheduled every 3 hours. Last recorded collection: 12/11/2026, 00:05 (Lisbon).
Luís Montenegro, PSD leader
Pitagórica, edition published on 26 Oct 2026: 28 Sep–19 Oct identify the weeks of the existing rolling sample; the source does not publish exact interview dates.
- ▼ 25 Jun–14 Sep 2026 · fall in 2 pollsters (−7.1 to −9 points in approval, each against its own previous poll)
- In that period, according to Wikipedia:
- · The Assembly of the Republic rejects the motion of no confidence against the government. source ↗
- · Portugal sanctions products from Israeli settlements in the West Bank. source ↗
- · Opposition leader André Ventura submits a motion of no confidence against the government in light of the controversies surrounding minister of home affairs Luís Neves. source ↗
- · Public Prosecution opens an inquiry into the management of Luís Neves, current minister of home affairs, in his former role as director of the Judiciary Police, in relation to alleged crimes of smuggling and abuse of power in a case concerning the loan of a seized drug trailer to a contractor friend of his. source ↗
- · The government activates the European Union Civil Protection Mechanism (UCPM) because of wildfires and a heat wave which dangerously increases the risk of further wildfires. source ↗
A rise or fall is marked when at least two pollsters, each compared only with itself, move 5 points or more in the same direction (between polls less than two months apart) over overlapping periods. The events come from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): those naming the leader on «Portal:Current events» and the political events on the country's page for that year («2026 in Portugal», for example), with no sport or celebrities. We show what happened; we do not say it was the cause.
- ▼ 25 Jun–14 Sep 2026 · fall in 2 pollsters (−7.1 to −9 points in approval, each against its own previous poll)
- In that period, according to Wikipedia:
- · The Assembly of the Republic rejects the motion of no confidence against the government. source ↗
- · Portugal sanctions products from Israeli settlements in the West Bank. source ↗
- · Opposition leader André Ventura submits a motion of no confidence against the government in light of the controversies surrounding minister of home affairs Luís Neves. source ↗
- · Public Prosecution opens an inquiry into the management of Luís Neves, current minister of home affairs, in his former role as director of the Judiciary Police, in relation to alleged crimes of smuggling and abuse of power in a case concerning the loan of a seized drug trailer to a contractor friend of his. source ↗
- · The government activates the European Union Civil Protection Mechanism (UCPM) because of wildfires and a heat wave which dangerously increases the risk of further wildfires. source ↗
A rise or fall is marked when at least two pollsters, each compared only with itself, move 5 points or more in the same direction (between polls less than two months apart) over overlapping periods. The events come from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): those naming the leader on «Portal:Current events» and the political events on the country's page for that year («2026 in Portugal», for example), with no sport or celebrities. We show what happened; we do not say it was the cause.
- ▼ 25 Jun–14 Sep 2026 · fall in 2 pollsters (−7.1 to −9 points in approval, each against its own previous poll)
- In that period, according to Wikipedia:
- · The Assembly of the Republic rejects the motion of no confidence against the government. source ↗
- · Portugal sanctions products from Israeli settlements in the West Bank. source ↗
- · Opposition leader André Ventura submits a motion of no confidence against the government in light of the controversies surrounding minister of home affairs Luís Neves. source ↗
- · Public Prosecution opens an inquiry into the management of Luís Neves, current minister of home affairs, in his former role as director of the Judiciary Police, in relation to alleged crimes of smuggling and abuse of power in a case concerning the loan of a seized drug trailer to a contractor friend of his. source ↗
- · The government activates the European Union Civil Protection Mechanism (UCPM) because of wildfires and a heat wave which dangerously increases the risk of further wildfires. source ↗
A rise or fall is marked when at least two pollsters, each compared only with itself, move 5 points or more in the same direction (between polls less than two months apart) over overlapping periods. The events come from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): those naming the leader on «Portal:Current events» and the political events on the country's page for that year («2026 in Portugal», for example), with no sport or celebrities. We show what happened; we do not say it was the cause.
Each dot is the pollster's own, as published; the 30-day average is ours and explained in the chart. We compare no countries, and nothing comes from the headlines. Read from the Wikipedia polling table (CC BY-SA 4.0) with collection scheduled every 3 hours. Last recorded collection: 29/10/2026, 21:05 (Lisbon).Record older than 24 hours; newer data may be available at the source.

