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Defence and security

Analysis

Defence and politics commentators and analysts we follow: each one’s role, with a source, and what they said or wrote.

These are the opinions and analyses of whoever signs or says them. We put different backgrounds side by side and use no labels: each person appears only with the role they hold. Veramundi does not endorse them.

Defence

This week

What each one said between 4 November and 11 November and how their readings compare, only from the headlines and descriptions of the pieces. These are the opinions of whoever says them.

Where they agree

  • Agostinho Costa and Rafael Martins agree that expectations for the Ukraine negotiations should be moderate.12

Where they differ

  • Agostinho Costa considers the Republican midterm defeat a referendum on Trump's two years in government, while Francisco Seixas da Costa links it mainly to Vance distancing himself from the war decision.12

AIWritten with the help of AI at 22:26 UTC, from 17 pieces by 6 people. How it is made

Carlos BrancoMajor general

CNN Portugal commentator, IPRI researcher, former NATO director of regional cooperation

Source for the role: 1, 2

Nothing in the last 30 days in the sources we read.

Agostinho CostaMajor general

CNN Portugal commentator

Source for the role: 1

AIWhat they said this week

  • Agostinho Costa says expectations for the new round of negotiations “must be low” and does not rule out a Korea-type situation in Eastern Europe.1
  • For Agostinho Costa, Russia has entered a scorched-earth logic, and Ukraine is responding in kind.1

Isidro de Morais PereiraMajor general

CNN Portugal commentator, former director at SHAPE (NATO)

Source for the role: 1, 2

Nothing in the last 30 days in the sources we read.

Rafael MartinsLieutenant general

CNN Portugal military expert, former Vice-Chief of the Air Force Staff

Source for the role: 1, 2

AIWhat they said this week

  • Rafael Martins calls for managing expectations, since Russia has not yet changed the demands he considers maximalist.1

Arnaut MoreiraMajor general

Former chief of staff to the Minister of National Defence (2011–2013)

Source for the role: 1, 2

AIWhat they said this week

  • Arnaut Moreira analyses what is at stake in the Nvidia case and the suspicion over US national security.1
  • Arnaut Moreira considers that JD Vance's statement shows an intention to distance himself from Donald Trump and marks the early start of the 2028 electoral race.1

Nuno Rogeiro

SIC commentator on geopolitics and conflicts

Source for the role: 1, 2

Nothing in the last 30 days in the sources we read.

Helena Ferro de Gouveia

Former war reporter, CNN Portugal commentator on international affairs

Source for the role: 1

AIWhat they said this week

  • Helena Ferro de Gouveia considers that the end of the war in Ukraine remains distant, due to disagreements over territory and security.1
  • Helena Ferro de Gouveia points out that Europe faces a hybrid war, with cyberattacks on banks and infrastructure.1

Marco SerronhaLieutenant general

CNN Portugal commentator, former chief of staff of the Joint Command for Military Operations and former deputy force commander of the UN mission in the Central African Republic (MINUSCA)

Source for the role: 1, 2

AIWhat they said this week

  • Marco Serronha assesses that Putin may concede in Abu Dhabi and considers the US negotiating position weak.1
  • Marco Serronha warns that Trump's agreement with Russia is dangerous for Europe, as it imposes a security system that violates European sovereignty.1

José Azeredo Lopes

CNN Portugal commentator, professor of International Law at the Catholic University (Porto), former Minister of National Defence and former chair of the ERC media regulator

Source for the role: 1, 2, 3

Filipe Alves

Editor of Diário de Notícias and editorial director-general of Global Media Group; writes opinion columns in DN

Source for the role: 1, 2

Nothing in the last 30 days in the sources we read.

Valentina Marcelino

Diário de Notícias journalist specialising in internal security and defence, National Defence auditor

Source for the role: 1

Nothing in the last 30 days in the sources we read.

Fernando de Melo GomesAdmiral

Former Chief of Staff of the Portuguese Navy and former chair of the Independent Strategic Reflection Group (GREI)

Source for the role: 1

Nothing in the last 30 days in the sources we read.

Francisco Seixas da Costa

Retired ambassador and CNN Portugal commentator, former Secretary of State for European Affairs (1995–2001)

Source for the role: 1, 2

AIWhat they said this week

  • Francisco Seixas da Costa analyses the impact of the midterm elections on the US administration and considers that Trump induces Vance to distance himself from the war decision.1
  • Francisco Seixas da Costa analyses the Republican defeat in the midterms and the Democratic proposals.1

Andreas Umland

Analyst at the Stockholm Centre for Eastern European Studies (SCEEUS), associate professor at Kyiv-Mohyla Academy and Observador columnist

Source for the role: 1

Nothing in the last 30 days in the sources we read.

Politics

This week

What each one said between 4 November and 11 November and how their readings compare, only from the headlines and descriptions of the pieces. These are the opinions of whoever says them.

Where they differ

  • Pacheco Pereira points to the PS as the party with the means to stop the Rent Law, while Helena Matos sees the rent freeze as the origin of a housing disaster.12

AIWritten with the help of AI at 14:51 UTC, from 5 pieces by 5 people. How it is made

Miguel Morgado

Lecturer at the Catholic University's Institute for Political Studies, former PSD MP (2015–2019), SIC Notícias commentator («Torto e Direito»)

Source for the role: 1

Page and news →

AIWhat they said this week

  • Miguel Morgado says that since political reflection began in European civilization there have been two competing views of collective life.1

Patrícia Calca

Political scientist, researcher at CIES-Iscte, opinion columnist for Jornal Económico

Source for the role: 1, 2, 3

Nothing in the last 30 days in the sources we read.

Filipa Raimundo

Assistant Professor of Political Science at Iscte, researcher at ICS-ULisboa and V-Dem (Southern Europe), opinion columnist for Público

Source for the role: 1, 2, 3

Nothing in the last 30 days in the sources we read.

Sebastião Bugalho

PSD Member of the European Parliament; since September 2026 has a fixed weekly interview slot on CNN Portugal

Source for the role: 1, 2

AIWhat they said this week

  • Sebastião Bugalho gains a weekend analysis slot on CNN Portugal, alongside Pedro Nuno Santos on Thursdays.1

João Galamba

Former Minister of Infrastructure (PS); CNN Portugal commentator since May 2024

Source for the role: 1

AIWhat they said this week

  • João Galamba says reality has shown him that in politics there are no friends, and revisits the case that shook his political career.1
  • Galamba sharply criticises Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa, praises António Costa, and rules out a return to active politics.1

Helena Matos

Journalist, Observador columnist and panellist on Rádio Observador's «Contra-Corrente»

Source for the role: 1, 2

AIWhat they said this week

  • Helena Matos considers that the rent freeze imposed 116 years ago caused a disaster that led the state to oblige landlords to carry out social housing policy.1

José Pacheco Pereira

Historian, Público columnist, former PSD member of parliament

Source for the role: 1, 2

AIWhat they said this week

  • José Pacheco Pereira says the PS is the only party with the institutional means to stop the Rent Law.1
  • Pacheco Pereira considers that the encampments deserve great credit for forcing discussion on housing.1

How we choose: a piece is included when the person signs it or when its headline or description names them, in the papers and channels we read. Public list in lexico/vozes-v1.json.