Each dot is a published poll, on the date fieldwork ended; each party's line is the average of each pollster's latest poll over the last 30 days, with at least three pollsters (when there are few, the window widens up to 90 days and, if that is still not enough, counts those there are, so the line joins every dot). We do not compare countries: each chart has its own election. Hover (or tap) a dot to see the pollster.
Presidential election, run-off (25 October 2026) · voting intention for the candidates · % of the vote
There are no regular party voting intention polls here: these are the polls for the presidential candidates, each with their party. When a poll tests several scenarios, the first one, listed at the top of the table, is the one counted.
Last recorded collection: 28/10/2026, 15:25 (Lisbon).Record older than 24 hours; newer data may be available at the source.
Study, data and source-check dates are separate. Last successful source check: 12/11/2026, 12:25 (Lisbon). Last attempt: 12/11/2026, 12:25 (Lisbon). Check completed. An unchanged source does not renew the data date.
54 polls, from 7 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026
Flávio Bolsonaro (PL)polling average48%
Lula da Silva (PT)polling average46.3%
Recent polls
Pollster
Dates
PL
PT
Quaest
23–24 Oct 2026
46
45
PoderData
23–24 Oct 2026
49
48
Nexus
23–24 Oct 2026
47
46
Futura
23–24 Oct 2026
48.2
47.9
Datafolha
23–24 Oct 2026
48
47
Palver
22–24 Oct 2026
50
49
Gerp
22–24 Oct 2026
49
46
Colectta
23 Oct 2026
46
46.5
MDA
21–23 Oct 2026
46.3
45
Instituto França
21–23 Oct 2026
45.1
43.1
Each dot is from the pollster that ran the poll, as published; the average is calculated by us. Read from the Wikipedia polling table (CC BY-SA 4.0) with collection scheduled every 3 hours. Last recorded collection: 28/10/2026, 15:25 (Lisbon).Record older than 24 hours; newer data may be available at the source.
Flávio Bolsonaro (PL)polling average48%
Lula da Silva (PT)polling average46.3%
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